Abstract:
This thesis is an attempt to find a suitable model that represents the
investments of the Arab Authority for Agricultural Investment and
Development (AAAID) in its companies in Sudan during the period (1983
- 2007). Such model can then be used to forecast the investment of
AAAID in Sudan in the future.
Some regression models, namely, the simple linear, logarithmic,
logistic, quadratic and cubic regression, were attempted. The cubic model
proved the best among these. Also, different ARIMA models were tried
and the model ARIMA (0,1,0) gave the best result in terms of precision
and parsimony.
To know whether the oil discovery has a significant impact on
AAAID’s investments in Sudan or not, the technique of transfer function
was employed. The result showed that the oil discovery has no significant
impact on AAAID’s investments in Sudan
